GOOGLE & MICROSOFT - A BATTLE OR DETENTE?
Friday, July 24th, 2009Do Google and Microsoft really want to beat each other up? In a fascinating article which first appeared in the Wall street journal and in the Australian on the 23rd of July 2009, columnist, Holman W Jenkins Jr, develops a compelling argument.
Jenkins writes:
Microsoft and Google…have the power to damage each other, and are better off if they don’t. They spend a lot of money on deterrence….Even more than the Cold War superpowers, they have every incentive quietly to agree to be deterred without investing quite so much on an arms race….
Their little secret is that neither Google nor Microsoft really have an interest in challenging each other’s core franchises, if it means risk to their own. Their posturing is primarily defensive–fear of loss is greater than hope of gain.
And both companies by now have a well-earned reputation for being willing to invest large sums simply to threaten the profits of companies that potentially threaten theirs. Ownership may also be from commen source investors.
Google has Google Apps and Microsoft have Bing, and Microsoft is developing its online advertising to keep Google from thinking too hard about Chrome OS.
The question is, do these two rivals really want to upset their positions of dominance in order to take on their competitors’ markets?
Jenkins may be right: every move and counter-move each takes against the other is almost certainly meant to warn more than seriously hurt.
The opportunities for Google and Microsoft lie in discovering and profiting from innovation in the market. It is unlikely that Google really want to challenge Microsoft Office on the desktop but more likely in the clouds.
Instead, Google is investing in collaboration and e-mail with Wave, which may position Google squarely into the office market.
It will be interesting to see how strategies unfold over the next critical two years.



